Abstract
Starting on 3 May 2018, a series of eruptive fissures opened in Kīlauea Volcano’s lower East Rift Zone (LERZ). Over the course of the next 3 months, intense degassing accompanied lava effusion from these fissures. Here, we report on ground-based observations of the gas emissions associated with Kīlauea’s 2018 eruption. Visual observations combined with radiative transfer modeling show that ultraviolet light could not efficiently penetrate the gas and aerosol plume in the LERZ, complicating SO2 measurements by differential optical absorption spectroscopy (DOAS). By applying a statistical method that integrates a radiative transfer model with the DOAS retrievals, we were able to calculate sulfur dioxide (SO2) emission rates along with estimates of their uncertainty. We find that sustained SO2 emissions were highest in June and early July, when approximately 200 kt SO2 were emitted daily. At the 68% confidence interval, we estimate that 7.1–13.6 Mt SO2 were released from the LERZ during the entire May to September eruptive episode. Scaling our results with in situ measurements of plume composition, we calculate that 11–21 Mt H2O and 1.5–2.8 Mt CO2 were also emitted. The gas and aerosol emissions caused hazardous conditions in areas proximal to the active vents, but plume dispersion modeling shows that the eruption also significantly impacted air quality hundreds of kilometers downwind. Combined with petrologic studies of the erupted lavas, our measurements indicate that 1.1–2.3 km3 dense-rock equivalent of lava were erupted from the LERZ, which is approximately twice the concomitant collapse volume of the volcano’s summit.
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Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank Taryn Lopez, Maarten de Moor, Matt Patrick, Laura Pioli, and one anonymous reviewer for their input which has significantly improved this article. Mike Zoeller is thanked for creating the lava flow map shown in Fig. 1. Thanks also to Diana Norgaard for constantly improving the mobile DOAS software used to acquire our spectral data. C.K. thanks Kyle Anderson, Roger Denlinger, and Santiago Arellano for their helpful conversations on the statistical data analysis methods. A.H.L. acknowledges an internship provided through the National Science Foundation's Graduate Research Internship Program (GRIP). Oliver Woodford and Yair Altman are acknowledged for providing the MATLAB routine export_fig which was used to process many of the figures in this article.
Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.
Funding
This study received support from the National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship Program under grant no. 1309047.
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Editorial responsibility: M.R. Patrick
This paper constitutes part of a topical collection: The historic events at Kilauea Volcano in 2018: summit collapse, rift zone eruption, and Mw6.9 earthquake
Electronic supplemental material
All spectral data analyzed and presented in this article are available for download from the USGS ScienceBase Catalog: https://doi.org/10.5066/P9LXBJF3
Additional electronic supplemental material is published alongside this article:
The file ESM1.zip contains the lookup table used for the MCMC processing. The zip repository contains 1,188 text files, each of which adhere to the naming convention ‘H_SSA_AOD.txt’, where H is the plume height above the instrument in meters, SSA is the plume aerosol single scatter albedo, and AOD is the plume aerosol optical depth used for the simulation. Additional information on the assumed plume geometry is given in the text. Each file contains two numerical values separated by a tab. The first number gives the air mass factor (AMF) of the simulated upward-looking measurement at 367 nm. Consistent with remote sensing literature, the AMF is defined as SCD/VCD, so values larger than 1 indicate extension of the effective light path in the plume. At this wavelength, the AMF can be considered independent of the SO2 VCD because SO2 absorption is weak. The second number gives the simulated darkening ratio Ip/I0, also simulated at 367 nm. These tables can be used to interpret upward-looking DOAS data of SO2 plumes in the 345-390 nm wavelength window but cannot be used in other wavelength regions, particularly those where SO2 absorption is strong and influences the light path distribution.
The tables provided in ESM2.csv, ESM3.csv, ESM4.csv and ESM5.csv contain the SO2 emission rates and their uncertainties retrieved for all successful mobile DOAS traverses of gas plumes emitted from Kīlauea between April and August 2018. ESM2.csv gives the individual SO2 emission rates from the active fissures in the LERZ, while ESM3.csv gives the sustained emission rates, which are averaged over three successive measurement days. ESM4.csv gives emissions from the volcano’s summit, while ESM5.csv provides emission rates from the middle East Rift Zone (MERZ). Following our statistical analyses of the LERZ emissions, the most likely emission rate is reported along with both the 68% and the 95% confidence intervals of that value for the LERZ data. As standard DOAS methods were used to retrieve the emission rates from the other source locations, only the standard symmetrical errors are given for these. The wind speeds and wind directions used for derivation of the emission rates are also listed, along with their assumed uncertainties. In cases where it could be determined by dual-beam mobile DOAS measurements, the plume height above sea level is also given. The last column gives the DOAS spectral fit range and analysis method. The identifier ‘MCMC’ indicates that the emission rate was retrieved using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method.
The file ESM6.pdf provides details of the analysis methods used to retrieve BrO column densities and BrO/SO2 ratios from the Mobile DOAS data. Examples of the spectral fit and BrO/SO2 ratio data are also given.
ESM 1
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ESM 2
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ESM 3
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ESM 4
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ESM 5
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ESM 6
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Kern, C., Lerner, A.H., Elias, T. et al. Quantifying gas emissions associated with the 2018 rift eruption of Kīlauea Volcano using ground-based DOAS measurements. Bull Volcanol 82, 55 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-020-01390-8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-020-01390-8