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Analytical Methods for Forecasting Development in the Electric Power Industry

  • Industries and Interindustry Complexes
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Studies on Russian Economic Development Aims and scope

Abstract

The article considers a methodical approach to analysis and tools for narrowing the scope of forecasting, formed from a variety of environmental scenarios, requirements for the development of the power industry, and rational ways to satisfy them. It is based on an assessment of the probability of implementing anticipated projects and their riskiness for potential investors. By an example of the power plant capacity projections, the effect of acceptable risk on the limits of forecasting is shown.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Melentiev Energy Systems Institute (ISEM), Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Irkutsk, Russia

    Yu. D. Kononov & D. Yu. Kononov

Authors
  1. Yu. D. Kononov
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  2. D. Yu. Kononov
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Correspondence to Yu. D. Kononov.

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Original Russian Text © Yu.D. Kononov, D.Yu. Kononov, 2018.

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Kononov, Y.D., Kononov, D.Y. Analytical Methods for Forecasting Development in the Electric Power Industry. Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev. 29, 527–532 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700718050076

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700718050076

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