Abstract
Coastal towns along the coast of Africa are among the most vulnerable to climate change impacts such as flooding and sea level rise. Yet, because coastal conditions in many parts of the region are poorly understood, knowledge on which population groups are at the most risk is less known, particularly in the Greater Accra Metropolitan Area (GAMA) of Ghana, where the capital city Accra is located. Without adequate information about the risk levels and why, the implementation of locally appropriate adaptation plans may be less effective. This study enriches our understanding of the levels of flood risks along the coast of GAMA and contributes knowledge to improve understanding of place-specific adaptation plans. The study uses data from a 300-household survey, stakeholder meetings, and interviews with local community leaders to construct an integrated vulnerability index. The index includes seven components made up of: dwelling type; house and house environment; household socioeconomic characteristics; experience and perception of flood risk; household and community flood adaptation strategies; house location, and physical characteristics. Our findings show that exposure to floods, particularly from local flash floods is relatively high in all communities. However, significant differences in sensitivity and adaptive capacity of the communities were observed due to differences in location, socioeconomic characteristics, and perception of risks to flooding and sea level rise. The complexity of factors involved in the determination of local-level vulnerability requires that the implementation of adaptation strategies needs to involve cross-sectorial partnerships, involving local communities, in building a comprehensive multi-risk adaptation strategy.
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Change history
26 July 2017
An erratum to this article has been published.
Notes
We use mitigation to refer to actions that addresses the cause of climate change or flooding, whereas we use adaptation to refer to actions that address the impact of climate change or flooding.
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Funding was provided by Danida Fellowship Centre.
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The original version of this article was revised: The first author’s name was incorrectly given as William Kojo Paul Yankson instead of Paul William Kojo Yankson.
An erratum to this article is available at https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-3006-0.
Appendices
Appendix 1
Descriptive statistics for exposure
Sub-category | All communities | Communities | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | Min | Max | STD | AS | AK | OK | LD | LK | TW | KK | GS | |
Average number of flood events in Accra for the past 10 years | 23.00 | 23 | 23 | 0.00 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
Proportion of people who experience flooding every year | 36.16 | 12 | 63.3 | 18.87 | 63.3 | 44 | 52 | 12 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 52 |
Proportion of people who had experienced flooding other than rainfall flooding over the past 10 years | 34.25 | 12 | 58 | 18.38 | 58 | 44 | 52 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 24 | 48 |
Proportion of people who have experienced flooding from rainfall/runoff around their house over the past 10 years | 37.00 | 12 | 70 | 22.01 | 70 | 48 | 56 | 16 | 18 | 24 | 12 | 52 |
Proportion of households with risk such as injury or death or property damage because flooding from rainfall/run off | 26.25 | 4 | 46 | 14.20 | 46 | 38 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 38 |
Proportion of households with risk such as injury or death because of flooding other than rainfall flooding over the past 10 years | 33.50 | 8 | 62 | 20.11 | 62 | 38 | 36 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 62 |
Mean standard deviation of monthly average of average maximum daily temperature (years 2005–2015) | 0.40 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Mean standard deviation of monthly average of average minimum daily temperature (years 2005–2015) | 0.50 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.00 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Mean standard deviation of monthly average precipitation (years 2005–2015) | 47.30 | 47.3 | 47.3 | 0.00 | 47.3 | 47.3 | 47.3 | 47.3 | 47.3 | 47.3 | 47.3 | 47.3 |
Proportion of households who have observed sea level rise | 58.00 | 36 | 84 | 17.10 | 80 | 60 | 36 | 44 | 56 | 84 | 44 | 60 |
Appendix 2
Descriptive statistics for sensitivity
Sub-categories | All communities | Communities | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | Min | Max | STD | AS | AK | OK | LD | LK | TW | KK | GS | |
Proportion of households without in-house/compound piped water access | 52.63 | 10.00 | 84 | 32.13 | 83 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 24 | 58 | 84 | 76 | 74 |
Proportion of households without toilet facilities at home | 61.50 | 12.00 | 96 | 32.33 | 90 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 52 | 84 | 96 | 68 | 74 |
Proportion of population unemployed | 14.25 | 4.00 | 28 | 7.36 | 14 | 4.00 | 20.00 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
Proportion of the population in informal employment | 81.75 | 64.00 | 94 | 8.71 | 78 | 94.00 | 80.00 | 64 | 84 | 84 | 88 | 82 |
Proportion who are not owners of a house | 60.00 | 40.00 | 82 | 12.96 | 82 | 64.00 | 52.00 | 52 | 58 | 40 | 60 | 72 |
Proportion of the population that reported damage to property from flooding in the community over the past 10 years | 33.50 | 8.00 | 62 | 20.11 | 62 | 38.00 | 36.00 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 62 |
Proportion of those who reported property damages because of flooding from rainfall/runoff in their household over the past 10 years | 26.25 | 4.00 | 46 | 14.20 | 46 | 38.00 | 28.00 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 38 |
Proportion of households who reported themselves/family member/neighbor having been forced to move or relocate because of recent flood disaster in the last 10 years | 17.25 | 0.00 | 66 | 23.95 | 66 | 14.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 38 |
Proportion of population who indicated they are likely to be affected by coastal flooding from sea level rise | 32.25 | 8.00 | 76 | 23.67 | 76 | 22.00 | 8.00 | 16 | 20 | 52 | 16 | 48 |
Proportion of population who feel worried about the danger of flooding in their community? | 58.23 | 36.70 | 89.5 | 19.59 | 89.5 | 56.00 | 52.00 | 44 | 36.7 | 52.1 | 48 | 87.5 |
Proportion of population who feel staying in their community is a threat to their safety | 36.89 | 28.50 | 48 | 8.72 | 29.1 | 38.00 | 48.00 | 44 | 28.5 | 30.4 | 48 | 29.1 |
Proportion of the population who reported any form risk because of flooding from rainfall/runoff | 31.75 | 8.00 | 48 | 15.02 | 48 | 42.00 | 44.00 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 46 |
Proportion of population who ranked roads infrastructure at a high risk to coastal flooding | 24.13 | 8.00 | 48 | 15.03 | 45.7 | 12.80 | 16.70 | 8 | 14 | 48 | 24 | 23.8 |
Proportion of population who ranked beach going infrastructure at a high risk to coastal flooding | 55.49 | 33.30 | 88 | 17.38 | 33.3 | 69.40 | 43.50 | 44 | 56 | 48 | 88 | 61.7 |
Proportion of population who ranked houses at a high risk to coastal flooding | 59.78 | 44.00 | 79.6 | 12.03 | 79.6 | 44.90 | 56.50 | 44 | 58 | 68 | 68 | 59.2 |
Proportion of population who ranked fishing at a high risk to coastal flooding | 61.53 | 37.50 | 83.7 | 16.19 | 52.1 | 71.40 | 43.50 | 37.5 | 60 | 76 | 68 | 83.7 |
Proportion of population who ranked business firms at a high risk to coastal flooding | 13.26 | 8.30 | 28 | 6.68 | 10.6 | 8.30 | 8.30 | 8.3 | 14 | 16.7 | 28 | 11.9 |
Proportion of population who ranked coastal wetlands at a high risk to coastal flooding | 17.38 | 4.00 | 47.6 | 15.33 | 29.8 | 11.80 | 10.50 | 5.3 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 47.6 |
Average slope (%) | 1.75 | 1.00 | 2.7 | 0.57 | 1.58 | 1.50 | 1.38 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1 |
Average distance to local drain/stream (KM) | 1.66 | 0.53 | 2.3 | 0.67 | 2.05 | 1.15 | 0.53 | 2.25 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 2.3 |
Average distance to sea (km) | 0.92 | 0.55 | 1.5 | 0.35 | 0.56 | 0.80 | 1.33 | 1.5 | 0.55 | 1 | 0.7 | 0.94 |
Average elevation (m) | 20.18 | 13.30 | 34 | 6.82 | 18 | 15.14 | 13.30 | 16 | 21 | 18 | 26 | 34 |
Appendix 3
Descriptive statistics for adaptive capacity
Sub-category | All communities | Communities | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | Min | Max | STD | AS | AK | OK | LD | LK | TW | KK | GS | |
Proportion of population who reported good drainage condition in their community | 34.25 | 2 | 64 | 20.63 | 2 | 26 | 48 | 40 | 52 | 64 | 28 | 14 |
Proportion of population who use any flood protection measures, e.g., digging trenches around houses before and during floods | 19.50 | 0 | 46 | 16.10 | 40 | 46 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 24 |
Proportion of the population that participate in community programs toward flood mitigation/adaptation | 15.75 | 4 | 30 | 9.53 | 30 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 30 |
Proportion of households that receive a warning about the pending natural disasters | 23.40 | 0 | 73 | 22.88 | 73 | 4.5 | 13.3 | 0 | 18.2 | 22.2 | 36 | 20 |
Proportion of population affected by recent floods who received assistance (outside formal government) | 87.20 | 75 | 100 | 10.03 | 100 | 95.5 | 86.7 | 100 | 81.8 | 77.8 | 75 | 80.8 |
Proportion of population affected by recent flood who received assistance (from formal government sources) | 10.79 | 8 | 18 | 3.6 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 8.3 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
Proportion of male population | 44.25 | 32 | 52 | 6.80 | 48 | 48 | 44 | 36 | 48 | 52 | 32 | 46 |
Proportion of the population living in secured dwelling type | 80.00 | 56 | 92 | 13.18 | 92 | 64 | 84 | 92 | 80 | 56 | 84 | 88 |
Proportion of population using a secured building material | 75.19 | 22 | 96 | 24.58 | 96 | 22 | 76 | 60 | 94 | 89 | 89 | 75.5 |
Proportion of the population living in a house with an outer wall | 36.00 | 4 | 86 | 28.75 | 70 | 8 | 4 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 32 | 86 |
Proportion of the population living in house with a secured floor material | 75.88 | 58 | 88 | 9.95 | 58 | 66 | 76 | 88 | 82 | 80 | 84 | 73 |
Proportion of the population using a secured roofing material | 93.50 | 86 | 100 | 4.99 | 94 | 90 | 100 | 88 | 98 | 96 | 96 | 86 |
Proportion of household with a kitchen attached to the main building | 35.75 | 20 | 60 | 12.44 | 24 | 30 | 20 | 40 | 42 | 32 | 60 | 38 |
Proportion of household with piped water at home | 47.25 | 16 | 90 | 32.27 | 16 | 90 | 88 | 76 | 42 | 16 | 24 | 26 |
Proportion of population with access to electricity | 83.00 | 70 | 96 | 8.82 | 84 | 74 | 96 | 88 | 92 | 80 | 80 | 70 |
Proportion of population who have undertaken maintenance of their outer wall over the past 10 years | 14.75 | 0 | 42 | 16.46 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 20 | 42 |
Proportion of population who have done any maintenance of their building over the past 10 years | 31.99 | 20.8 | 48 | 8.60 | 24.5 | 28.6 | 48 | 32 | 20.8 | 40 | 32 | 30 |
Proportion of population who have undertaken maintenance of their floor over the past 10 years | 10.50 | 4 | 20 | 5.93 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
Proportion of population who have undertaken maintenance of their roof wall over the past 10 years | 22.06 | 8 | 28 | 6.72 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 26.5 | 28 | 16 | 24 |
Proportion who have any form of economic activity attached to the household | 30.75 | 12 | 52 | 13.48 | 12 | 52 | 44 | 40 | 24 | 20 | 24 | 30 |
Proportion of the population that reported knowledge of any civil society in the community involved in flood protection and mitigation | 4.76 | 0 | 16 | 7.08 | 16 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
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Yankson, P.W.K., Owusu, A.B., Owusu, G. et al. Assessment of coastal communities’ vulnerability to floods using indicator-based approach: a case study of Greater Accra Metropolitan Area, Ghana. Nat Hazards 89, 661–689 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2985-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2985-1