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Defeating the Impacts of Changing Climates

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Mitigating Climate Change (TELAC 2021)

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Abstract

The Earth’s climate has changed several times during the last million years, with many instances of glacial expansion often resulting in drought, famine, and floods. Our human ancestors adapted to these changes, mostly by geographic migration, but if they took no adaptive measures, or were unable to, they likely did not survive. After the last major ice age, the Holocene (the last 11,700 years of Earth’s history) began and the gradually warming Earth enabled homo sapiens, especially those living in the geographic lucky latitudes, to develop agricultural food production and domesticate animals; two of the vital elements which led to the establishment of modern civilizations and societies. More recently, over the past 3 centuries, the global human population has increased by a factor of about 8 and it is forecast, by the United Nations, to increase by at least another 30% from today until the end of the twenty-first century. This recent era of population explosion coincided with an increase in the global consumption of fossil energy, which is now 1400 times greater than at the start of eighteenth century. There were positive outcomes from such energy use but, increasingly, there are concerns about the high possibility of damaging climate effects from fossil fuel emissions, such as Greenhouse Gases (GHGs). Subsequently, in addition to natural climate changes brought about by volcanic eruptions, disruptive solar activity, earthquakes, and periodic orbital cycle variances, anthropogenic (caused by human activity) influences must also be taken in account. Can adaptation alone address the vagaries of changing climates? It appears not, and there is a global belief that only the mitigation of GHG emissions will restore the Earth’s inherent ability to accommodate changing climates. So, for the past two decades, global governments focused-on mitigation measures involving transitions away from fossil fuels to renewable energies. But will the mitigation of anthropogenic affects also reduce the impact of natural changes on climate? Can we afford to overlook adaptation strategies until mitigation is successful? If not, what adaptation strategies will be needed to avoid local weather and climate disasters? Meaningful combinations of mitigation and adaptation to defeat the harmful impacts of changing climates do not appear to receive palpable financial support. Why not? These questions are discussed in this chapter.

This Chapter is partly based on an extended abstract presented at the Thriving Through Climate Change and Pandemic 2021, Symposium and Industrial Summit, June 24–25, held at the University of Windsor, Windsor, Ontario, Canada, https://scholar.uwindsor.ca/ttccap/.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Climate Scientists now tend to use the term projection rather than prediction.

  2. 2.

    Defined in Article 1 UN https://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/conveng.pdf, 1992.

  3. 3.

    There appears to be some disagreement about the exact date.

  4. 4.

    After a quoted year, CE stands for the common era, while BCE stands for before the common era.

  5. 5.

    Not in the thermodynamic sense using the Kelvin scale.

  6. 6.

    To date, only small-pox has been eradicated in the past two centuries.

  7. 7.

    A tenet attributed to the Dutch philosopher Desiderius Erasmus at the start of the sixteenth century.

  8. 8.

    Afforestation is the establishment of forests, through planting and/or deliberate seeding, on land that, until then, was not classified as forest.

  9. 9.

    The term ocean acidification if often used to describe decreasing ocean alkalinity although the oceans still are alkaline.

  10. 10.

    Formerly referred to as continental drift.

  11. 11.

    Milankovitch graduated in Civil Engineer both as an undergraduate and postgraduate student. He is often referred to as a geophysicist, astronomer, scientist and, more recently, a climatologist!

  12. 12.

    Also known as erractics.

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Reader, G.T. (2022). Defeating the Impacts of Changing Climates. In: Ting, D.SK., Vasel-Be-Hagh, A. (eds) Mitigating Climate Change. TELAC 2021. Springer Proceedings in Energy. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-92148-4_1

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