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Assessment of Possible Ecologo–Demographic Effects of Air Emissions by the Example of Karelia

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Biogenic—Abiogenic Interactions in Natural and Anthropogenic Systems

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Earth System Sciences ((LNESS))

Abstract

A close linear correlation between reducing air pollutant emissions from stationary sources (except emissions from iron ore mining in Kostomuksha) and mortality coefficients (annual number of deaths per 1000 people) was revealed: including mortality coefficients from diseases of the circulatory system (r = 0.98), from external causes (r = 0.97) and the total mortality coefficient (r = 0.97) for 2004–2013. The possible total number of deaths caused by these emissions over a 10-year period was estimated in the interval 12.2–31.6 % using linear statistical models. The spasmodic growth of the mortality coefficient from neoplasms in 2008–2011 could have been the result of a sharp rise in motor transport emissions in 2006–2009.

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Correspondence to Dmitrii S. Rybakov .

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Rybakov, D.S. (2016). Assessment of Possible Ecologo–Demographic Effects of Air Emissions by the Example of Karelia. In: Frank-Kamenetskaya, O., Panova, E., Vlasov, D. (eds) Biogenic—Abiogenic Interactions in Natural and Anthropogenic Systems. Lecture Notes in Earth System Sciences. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-24987-2_16

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